Bryan Caplan is the author of several books including The Myth of The Rational Voter, The Case Against Education, Open Borders, and Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids. He is my favorite economist and has been very influential on my views.
P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.
Scott Alexander is a psychiatrist with a wide range of interests including articificial intelligence, consequentialist ethics, effective altruism, prediction markets, model cities, current events, and book reviews.